EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL With the trend 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down +9 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.54 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | RSX Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.08 |
| ▼ | ADXR Trend Weak | indicator | 1.07 |
| ▼ | Three Outside Down | candlestick | 1.01 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.96 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with multiple moving average retreats and a DEMA break down.
- Trend is bearish across most lower timeframes, but higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, creating a conflict.
- Key support at 176.98400 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 177.71500 is the invalidation zone.
- The ADXR Trend Weak suggests the trend is still forming, so momentum may be less reliable than the signal strength implies.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the short term. The 15-minute and 30-minute charts are both bearish, with the 30-minute showing a forming trend (2/5). The 1-hour and 4-hour are also bearish but choppy, while the 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour are bullish, suggesting a potential conflict on higher timeframes. The daily is bearish with a forming trend, which supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 177.71500 and support at 176.98400; a break below support could extend the downside, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals from both candlestick and indicator groups.
- ▼ Bearish alignment on 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, and daily timeframes.
- ▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down add to the bearish case.
- ▼ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength rating.
- ▲ Conflicting bullish trends on 2H, 8H, and 12H timeframes could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ ADXR Trend Weak indicates the trend is not strong, so the move may lack momentum.
- ▲ If price breaks back above 177.71500, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ Choppy conditions on 1H and 4H could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.71500 | 2026-11-10 |
| R2 | 177.99000 | 2026-11-05 |
| R3 | 178.05700 | 2026-11-05 |
| S1 | 176.98400 | 2026-11-10 |
| S2 | 176.43100 | 2026-11-09 |
| S3 | 176.23400 | 2026-11-09 |