EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW
12 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
1.11410
Target
1.11229 +0.16 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11701 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div, MIDPOINT Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 8 % (5.37) ▼ Bearish 92 % (63.20)
model score 92.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div divergence 3.15
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.78
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.39
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.30
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.28
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.81
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.27
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.09
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.06

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: MACD cross down, RSI/Stochastic oversold entries, and Bollinger Bands lower break all align.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trends on 30m, 1h, and 1d.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.11701, support at 1.11351; watch for a break below support to confirm.
  • Oversold conditions may trigger a short-term bounce, so wait for a pullback or breakdown before adding shorts.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI and Stochastic oversold entries, a Bollinger Bands lower break, and EMA, HT Trendline, and KAMA retreats. With 15 additional signals from indicator, divergence, and candlestick groups, the confluence strongly favors continued downside pressure. The trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trends on the 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts, while the 2-hour and 15-minute are forming. The 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour are choppy/sideways, but they do not contradict the bearish bias.

Immediate resistance sits at 1.11701, while the nearest support is at 1.11351. The current price action is pressing lower, and a break below support would confirm the next leg down. However, with the RSI and Stochastic already in oversold territory, a short-term bounce is possible. Traders should watch for a rejection at resistance or a sustained break below support to maintain the bearish momentum. The high probability (92%) and very strong strength underline the conviction behind this signal, but risk management remains key given the crowded short positioning.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (MACD, RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R) all point to continued downside.
  • ▼ Bollinger Bands lower break and EMA/HT Trendline/KAMA retreats confirm bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 1d timeframes.
  • ▼ High probability (92%) and very strong signal strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ RSI and Stochastic are in oversold territory, increasing the risk of a bounce or reversal.
  • ▲ 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
  • ▲ A close above the nearest resistance at 1.11701 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Crowded short positioning may lead to a short squeeze, so manage risk tightly.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-11 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.11701 2026-11-11
R2 1.12514 2026-11-10
R3 1.12682 2026-11-05
S1 1.11351 2026-11-09
S2 1.11309 2026-11-06

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