NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 01:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.56063

Target

0.56496 +0.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55865 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, DX Trend Strong, STOCH OB Exit +12 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 85 % (22.06) ▼ Bearish 15 % (4.02)

model score 84.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 20h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 01:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.69
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.65
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.27
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.00
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.73

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.56496 for a potential breakout; support at 0.55865 is key.
Momentum indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHRSI) all align to support the bullish case.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including an APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and a DX Trend Strong reading, alongside a STOCH OB Exit and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. These momentum and trend indicators suggest that downside pressure is easing and that buyers are stepping in, with the retreat up in both DEMA and EMA further confirming a short-term bullish reversal. The signal is strong, with an 84% probability, and is supported by a broad set of candlestick and indicator signals that point to a potential bounce off support.

However, the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute and daily charts showing solid downtrends. This means the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.56496 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a more sustained recovery, while a failure to hold above support at 0.55865 would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and be mindful that the dominant trend is still down.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, BOP) crossing above zero signal improving bullish momentum.
▲ STOCH OB Exit and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate a shift from overbought to bullish conditions.
▲ DEMA and EMA retreats up confirm a short-term upward move in price.
▲ The signal cluster includes a high number of bullish signals, increasing confidence.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish on all higher timeframes, which could cap upside.
▼ A failure to break above resistance at 0.56496 may lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The 15-minute and 4-hour timeframes are choppy and sideways, suggesting weak conviction.
▼ If price breaks below support at 0.55865, the bullish signal is invalidated.