AVAX/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 14:00 UTC 22 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +2.96 %

Entry

8.3140

Target

8.0680 +2.96 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.7410 −5.14 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 7,815 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,815 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.62 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.46 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.48 % 23 % at stop avg −2.03 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, KST Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 14m
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 4 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 15:02 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.49
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators align on the 1H, but higher timeframes are mixed, so treat this as a short-term short.
Watch the 8.06800 support: a break opens the door to further downside; a hold could trigger a bounce.
Resistance at 8.74100 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
Momentum is strongest on the 15m/30m, so the signal is most reliable for scalping or intraday trades.

The SELL signal on AVA/USDT (1H) is backed by a cluster of bearish indicators: the STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a short-term pullback within a larger downtrend, while the KST Zero Cross Down and both SMA 200 and ALMA Retreat Down confirm that the prevailing trend is losing upside momentum. The Spinning Top Bearish candlestick adds a cautionary note, indicating indecision that could resolve lower. Lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are already bearish, supporting the immediate downside bias, though the 1H and higher timeframes show only weak, choppy trends, which reduces conviction.

Key levels to monitor: nearest resistance at 8.74100 and nearest support at 8.06800. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a sustained move back above resistance would invalidate the signal. The 8H and 12H timeframes remain bullish, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger range. Traders should watch for a close below support to confirm continuation, or a bounce at support that could lead to a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish indicators (STOCH, KST, SMA 200, ALMA) all pointing down.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already in solid bearish trends, supporting the immediate direction.
▼ The Spinning Top Bearish adds a candlestick confirmation of selling pressure.
▼ The signal's high probability (86%) and very strong strength indicate robust historical reliability.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
▲ The 1H trend is only rated 1/5 (choppy/sideways), so the signal may lack follow-through.
▲ A break above the 8.74100 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up is a short-term bullish signal, which could indicate the pullback is already underway and may soon exhaust.