ETH/BTC – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-12 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

0.02827

Target

0.03053 +7.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.02732 −3.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.10 % per trade 853 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 853 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.01 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.70 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.85 % 18 % at stop avg −5.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, CMO OS Exit +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −23.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 78 % (3.96) ▼ Bearish 22 % (1.11)

model score 8.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.54
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.53
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.46
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.39
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.39
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.29
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.14
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.07
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.07
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of oversold and momentum signals has fired on the 12H chart, pointing to a strong short-term bounce.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
The key level to watch is resistance at 0.03053; a break above could open the door for further upside.
Trade cautiously: the bullish signal is strong but lacks higher-timeframe confirmation, so use tight risk management.

The ETH/BTC pair on the 12H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO oversold exit, RSI oversold exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR oversold exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up, among others. This confluence of momentum and oscillator signals indicates that the recent selling pressure is exhausting and a short-term bounce is likely. The signal strength is very strong (91% probability), suggesting a high conviction in the immediate direction.

However, the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing solid downtrends. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are turning bullish, but the 1H is choppy, reflecting a lack of clear trend. The nearest resistance at 0.03053 is a critical level; a break above could signal a deeper correction, but failure to hold this bounce would likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should watch for a close above resistance to confirm the shift, while a drop below the recent lows would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (CMO, RSI, WILLR) and crossovers (STOCHF, KDJ, SMI) align, indicating a strong reversal impulse.
▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and ER Level Cross Down suggest buying pressure is returning and trend efficiency is improving.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2h) are already bullish, providing early confirmation of the bounce.
▲ The signal's very strong probability (91%) and high strength add conviction to the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish, which could cap any upside and lead to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest support is undefined, so if the bounce fails, the pair could fall to new lows without a clear floor.
▼ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating that the bullish momentum is not yet consistent across all lower timeframes.
▼ Watch for a close below the recent swing low; that would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.