ETH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-12 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.85 %

Entry

2,009.10

Target

1,991.95 +0.85 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,450.00 −21.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 2,312 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,312 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.53 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.73 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 22 % at stop avg −3.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MIDPRICE Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 16:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.21
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.04
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	3.03
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.50
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.52
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.10
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 4H as the strongest.
Bear Pennant breakdown plus multiple moving average breakdowns confirm downside momentum.
Oversold RSI and STOCHF cross up may trigger a short-term bounce, but the bias remains lower.
Watch 2450 resistance; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

The 4H chart for ETH/USDT is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Pennant breakdown and a very strong AROON downtrend. This is reinforced by DEMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE breakdowns, plus a MAMA price retreat, all pointing to sustained downside momentum. The RSI is in oversold territory, but the STOCHF KD cross up suggests a possible short-term bounce; however, the overwhelming bearish structure suggests any bounce is likely to be sold.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and strong: 15m, 30m, and 4H all show very strong bearish trends (4/5), while 1H, 2H, 8H, and 12H are solidly bearish (3/5). Only the daily is still forming a bearish trend (2/5), which means the larger picture is not yet fully aligned but is leaning lower. The nearest resistance at 2450 is the key level to watch; as long as price stays below it, the bearish outlook holds. The nearest support at 2006 is the primary downside target, but it is a long way off, so expect potential intermediate pauses.

Catalysts

▼ Bear Pennant pattern is a classic continuation signal, and it fired alongside multiple trend-following indicators.
▼ Very strong AROON downtrend (4/5) confirms sellers are in control.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores across all timeframes (3/5 or higher) support the continuation.
▼ Breakdowns below DEMA, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE suggest price is trading below key dynamic levels.

Risk Factors

▲ RSI is oversold, which can lead to a sharp bounce; a move back above 2450 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The daily timeframe is only at 2/5 trend strength, so the larger trend is not fully bearish yet, which could limit downside.
▲ STOCHF KD cross up hints at short-term upward momentum that could stall the decline temporarily.
▲ Nearest support at 2006 is far away, so price may find intermediate support before reaching it.