AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW
10 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
108.350
Target
108.133 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.969 −0.57 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Scalping
▲ Bullish 10 % (5.27) ▼ Bearish 90 % (48.96)
model score 90.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 3.20
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 3.02
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.79
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.61
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.54
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.54
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.43
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.40
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.36
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.98
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 1.68
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.27

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with 90% probability, suggests high conviction for a sell.
  • All key timeframes from 30-minute up to 12-hour are aligned bearish, with the 1-hour showing the strongest trend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 108.96900; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Oversold exits on ULTOSC and WILLR indicate momentum may be resetting, but the trend remains down.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Stochastic Fast KD cross up that is being treated as a bearish continuation trigger within a broader downtrend, alongside exits from oversold conditions on the Ultimate Oscillator and Williams Percent Range. The DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA all show price retreating downward, while a higher-timeframe trendline is also rejecting price lower. With over a dozen signals converging, the probability score is 90% and strength is very strong, suggesting a high-conviction sell setup.

Trend alignment is broadly bearish across timeframes, with the 1-hour chart showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 30-minute, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour charts all solidly bearish (3/5). The 15-minute and daily charts are choppy/sideways (1/5), but the intermediate-term alignment supports the sell. The nearest resistance sits at 108.96900, which is the key level to watch for a potential bounce; a break above that would signal weakness in the bearish setup. There is no defined support level provided, so traders should monitor price action for the next support zone to form.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all point downward, confirming bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Higher-timeframe trendline retreat adds confluence to the sell signal.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores across 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes support continuation.
  • ▼ The cluster of over a dozen signals across candlestick and indicator groups increases confidence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute and daily charts are choppy/sideways, which could lead to range-bound price action.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 108.96900 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions may lead to a temporary bounce, especially if the Stochastic cross up gains traction.
  • ▲ No defined support level means the downside could be open, but also increases uncertainty about where to take profit.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-13 15:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 108.96900 2026-11-13
R2 109.56600 2026-11-11

Tags

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