AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-13 04:30 UTC 5 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.68031

Target

0.68644 +0.90 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.67697 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, Bullish Harami

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 76 % (4.50) ▼ Bearish 24 % (1.42)

model score 76.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 8h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish across all timeframes.
The Bullish Harami and momentum crossovers indicate a potential reversal attempt, but it is counter-trend.
Watch the resistance at 0.68644 and support at 0.67978 for direction confirmation.
Probability is 76% with strong strength, yet the bearish higher timeframes cap upside potential.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals at 07:30 UTC on 2026-11-13, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, ERI Bull Zero Cross Down, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern. These indicate a short-term momentum shift and a potential reversal attempt within an overarching bearish trend. The confluence of an indicator-based momentum signal and a candlestick reversal pattern suggests buyers are stepping in at current levels, but the broader context remains firmly bearish across all higher timeframes.

Despite the bullish signals, the trend structure is overwhelmingly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h charts, and a strong 1h trend (4/5). The 15-minute chart is also bearish but choppy. This means the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.68644 and support at 0.67978. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and resume the dominant downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple signals firing together (BOP, STOCHF, ERI, and candlestick) increase the likelihood of a short-term move.
▲ The Bullish Harami is a classic reversal pattern, adding weight to the bullish case.
▲ Momentum indicators (STOCHF KD Cross Up, ERI zero cross) show early buying pressure.
▲ The 76% probability and strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (1h strong, 4h solid) could overpower the counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 15-minute chart is bearish and choppy, indicating lack of clear short-term bullish momentum.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 0.68644, the bullish signals may fade quickly.
▼ A break below support at 0.67978 would invalidate the setup and likely trigger a continuation lower.