AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-11-13 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −4.18 %

Entry

8.3920

Target

9.0140 +7.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.7730 −7.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, HMA Direction Up, KDJ Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↑ +27.0 vs previous candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 82 % (6.17) ▼ Bearish 18 % (1.35)

model score 82.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.7 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 26.9 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 3,402 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	1.75
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.52
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.49
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 4H, but higher timeframes are still bearish—treat as a counter-trend move.
Watch the 9.01400 resistance; a break above could confirm a larger reversal.
Support at 7.77300 is the invalidation zone; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
The cluster of indicator signals suggests a high-probability bounce, but confirmation on higher timeframes is lacking.

The 4H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicator signals, including CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, DPO Zero Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, HMA Break Up, and HMA Direction Up. This confluence suggests a strong momentum shift from oversold conditions, with price reclaiming key moving averages and trend-following indicators flipping bullish. The very strong probability (90%) reflects the high number of aligned signals, though the broader trend context remains mixed.

Across timeframes, the short-term picture (15m to 1h) is bullish but still forming, while higher timeframes (2h to 1d) remain bearish or choppy. This divergence implies the current move is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 9.01400 is the immediate barrier; a decisive break above it could signal a stronger reversal. Support at 7.77300 is the key level to watch—if price fails to hold above it, the bullish signals would be invalidated and the downtrend could resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing simultaneously on the 4H, including CCI OS Exit and KDJ Cross Up.
▲ Price retreating from lower Bollinger Band and DPO crossing zero upward, indicating momentum shift.
▲ HMA Break Up and Direction Up confirm short-term trend strength.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are bullish, supporting the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h-1d) are bearish, suggesting the rally may be a correction within a downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 9.01400 could cap upside if not broken with volume.
▼ If price falls below 7.77300 support, the bullish signals are invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Momentum could fade if the 4H signals fail to attract follow-through buying.