BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-13 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.94 %

Entry

68,594.01

Target

67,950.73 +0.94 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,196.01 −18.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.49
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.91
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.89
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.39
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.36

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 4H with 87% probability, backed by multiple indicator breakdowns.
All timeframes from 15m to 8H are bearish, confirming the downtrend.
Watch resistance at 81196.01000; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Oversold conditions (KDJ OS Exit) may cause brief bounces, but the trend remains down.

The 4H BTC/USDT signal is firmly bearish, with an 87% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of indicator breakdowns and a bearish candlestick pattern. The STOCH KD Cross Up initially suggested a potential short-term bounce, but the overwhelming dominance of retreat and breakdown signals—DEMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down, and ALMA Break Down—confirms that sellers are in control. The KDJ OS Exit indicates oversold conditions, yet the persistent bearish momentum suggests that any bounce is likely to be shallow. The Spinning Top Bearish candlestick adds a note of indecision, but within the broader downtrend, it reinforces the bearish outlook rather than signaling a reversal.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is exceptionally strong, with very strong trends on the 15m through 8H charts and a solid trend on the 12H, while the daily chart shows a trend still forming. This multi-timeframe convergence strongly supports the continuation of the downtrend. The nearest resistance at 81196.01000 is the immediate level to watch; a break above it would signal weakening bearish momentum. With no nearby support, the path of least resistance remains downward, and the confluence of breakdown signals across multiple indicators provides high-confidence confirmation of the bearish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment: very strong trends on 15m to 8H, solid on 12H.
▼ Confluence of breakdown signals: DEMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3, and ALMA all breaking down.
▼ Bearish candlestick pattern (Spinning Top Bearish) adds to the bearish narrative.
▼ Very strong trend score (4/5) on the 4H timeframe itself.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 81196.01000 would signal a potential reversal.
▲ Oversold conditions (KDJ OS Exit) could trigger a short-term bounce, slowing the downtrend.
▲ The daily trend is only forming (2/5), so a higher timeframe reversal could undermine the signal.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up hints at possible upward momentum, which may conflict with the bearish bias.