DOGE/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-13 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −3.38 %

Entry

0.06443

Target

0.07834 +21.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.06225 −3.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for DOGE/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.40
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.08
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.99
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of oversold oscillators and band retreats suggests a short-term bounce is likely.
The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend long setup.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.07834; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal.
The signal has high probability (81%) and strong strength, but the bearish trend limits upside.

The DOG/EUSDT 4H signal fires a cluster of mean-reversion oscillators (RSI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up) alongside volatility-band retreats (ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat). Together these indicate that downside momentum has become overextended and is beginning to unwind, with buying pressure returning as the Balance of Power crosses above zero. The STOCH KD Cross Down is a contrarian component, suggesting that the short-term stochastic is turning lower, but the overall cluster points to a potential bounce from oversold conditions.

However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with very strong trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts. This means the bounce is counter-trend and likely to face resistance at the nearest level of 0.07834. The signal has an 81% probability and strong strength, but traders should treat it as a tactical long opportunity within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal. The key is whether price can reclaim and hold above 0.07834; a failure to do so would confirm the bearish trend remains intact.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (RSI, WILLR) and STOCHRSI cross up indicate fading downside momentum.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows buying pressure emerging, supporting a bounce.
▲ ACCBANDS and KELTNER lower band retreats suggest price is stretching below volatility bands, often preceding a mean-reversion move.
▲ Strong signal strength and high probability add confidence to the bounce scenario.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend is very strong on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H), which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down is a bearish signal and may indicate that the bounce is weak or short-lived.
▼ A failure to hold above the nearest support (currently N/A) could lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.07834 may cap upside; a rejection there would invalidate the bullish setup.