ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −2.53 %
Entry
1,959.24
Target
2,450.00 +25.05 %
closes in profit
Stop
1,909.63 −2.53 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 2,330 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ETH/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
  • November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
  • November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 4h 4%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.85
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.24
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.18
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 1.14
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 0.85
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.80
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.70
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.63

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-cross signals on the 4H chart suggests a potential short-term bounce.
  • Higher timeframes (2H-12H) remain in strong downtrends, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
  • Watch the 2450.00 resistance; a break above could extend the bounce, while rejection may lead to renewed selling.
  • Use tight risk management due to the conflicting trend context.
The ETH/USDT 4H chart has triggered a cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-cross signals, including the BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and KDJ Cross Up. These indicators suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and a short-term bounce may be developing. The HMA Retreat Up and ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat further hint at a potential reversal from the lower band, while the KST Signal Cross Down adds a cautionary note, indicating that the broader momentum trend may still be weakening.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with very strong downtrends on the 2H through 12H charts. This creates a conflict: the 4H oversold signals point to a possible counter-trend rally, but the larger trend remains down. The nearest resistance at 2450.00 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a more meaningful reversal, while a failure to hold above this level may see the bounce fade and the downtrend resume. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish structure, with tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit) indicate selling pressure is overextended.
  • ▲ Momentum crossovers (STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up) suggest short-term buying momentum is building.
  • ▲ HMA Retreat Up and ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat show price pulling back from extreme lower levels, often preceding a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are in very strong downtrends, which could overwhelm the 4H bounce.
  • ▼ The KST Signal Cross Down warns that the medium-term momentum is still bearish.
  • ▼ If the price fails to break above 2450.00, the bounce may be short-lived and the downtrend could resume.
  • ▼ The 15m and 1D trends are only forming, adding uncertainty to the direction.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-13 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,450.00000 2026-11-04
R2 2,526.62000 2026-10-21
R3 2,579.88000 2026-10-12

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