LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-13 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −3.37 %

Entry

0.00003709

Target

0.00004058 +9.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00003584 −3.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 2,355 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,355 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.50 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 23 % at stop avg −3.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.59
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.25
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.19
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum cross-up signals fired on the 4H chart, indicating a potential short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a countertrend long with limited upside expectations.
Immediate resistance at 0.00004 is the critical level to watch; a break above could extend the bounce, while rejection would likely resume the downtrend.
Given the very strong bearish trend scores, any long position should be managed with tight stops and quick profit-taking.

The LUN/CUSDT 4H signal has fired a cluster of momentum oscillators simultaneously, including BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, and lower band retreats in both ACCBANDS and KELTNER. This confluence suggests that the recent sharp decline has exhausted selling pressure and that a short-term bounce is likely. The sheer number of oversold-exit and cross-up signals, combined with a very strong probability score of 87%, points to a high-confidence countertrend move.

However, the broader context is firmly bearish. Every timeframe from 15 minutes up to the daily is trending lower with very strong or extremely strong trend scores. This means the buy signal is a countertrend opportunity within a dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.00004 is the immediate upside target and a key level to watch; a failure to reclaim this level would confirm that the bounce is merely a retracement within the larger bearish structure. Traders should treat this as a tactical long with tight risk management, not a trend reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R, KDJ) all exited oversold conditions simultaneously, suggesting strong buying momentum.
▲ The BOP zero cross up and ER level cross down indicate improving buying pressure and trend efficiency.
▲ Lower band retreats in both ACCBANDS and KELTNER confirm price is bouncing off extreme oversold levels, often leading to sharp reversals.
▲ The very strong signal probability (87%) and the high number of confirmed indicators increase the likelihood of a successful bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores, meaning the bounce could quickly fade.
▼ If price fails to hold above the recent lows and breaks below the nearest support (currently undefined), the signal would be invalidated.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.00004 is a strong barrier; a rejection there would confirm the bearish trend and likely trigger a sell-off.
▼ Countertrend signals in a strongly trending market often produce only shallow retracements, so upside may be limited.