NEAR/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW
20 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.65 %
Entry
3.5540
Target
3.8150 +7.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
3.4460 −3.04 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 2,312 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,312 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +2.53 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.73 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 22 % at stop avg −3.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Up, ALMA Break Up, HMA Break Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 94 % (19.33) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.14)
model score 94.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
NEAR/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for NEAR/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 1h
  • November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 4 days
  • November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 3.25
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 3.25
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.75
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.45
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.86
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.29
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.14

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicator confirmations.
  • Higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bearish, so this may be a counter-trend move.
  • Key resistance at 3.81500; a break could signal trend reversal, while support at 3.44600 is critical.
  • Momentum is strong but conflicting with higher timeframe trend—proceed with caution.
The NEA/RUSDT 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a bounce off the lower Bollinger Band, breakouts above the DEMA, ALMA, and HMA, a zero-cross up in the HT Sine, a bullish AO saucer, and a Keltner mid cross. This convergence suggests strong upward momentum on the 4H timeframe, with price likely targeting the nearest resistance at 3.81500. The signal's very strong strength and 94% probability reflect the alignment of multiple independent indicators, all pointing to a continuation of the move.

However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, which creates a conflict. The bullish signals are confined to the lower timeframes (15m through 4H), while the higher timeframes show a persistent downtrend. This suggests the current rally may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. Traders should watch the 3.81500 resistance closely; a break above could shift the higher timeframe bias, but failure to hold above it may lead to a retest of the 3.44600 support.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of eight bullish indicators on the 4H timeframe.
  • ▲ Breakouts above multiple moving averages (DEMA, ALMA, HMA) and Keltner mid.
  • ▲ AO saucer pattern indicates accelerating bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Price bouncing off lower Bollinger Band often precedes a mean-reversion move upward.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Resistance at 3.81500 is a major barrier; failure to break could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ Trend scores are low (2/5) on most timeframes, indicating the trend is not firmly established.
  • ▼ If price falls back below the 4H support at 3.44600, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol NEAR/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-13 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 3.81500 2026-11-11
R2 4.27000 2026-11-04
R3 4.56900 2026-10-31
S1 3.44600 2026-11-08

Tags

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