NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-13 18:00 UTC 18 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

0.55259

Target

0.56140 +1.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.54723 −0.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, HMA Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday

▲ Bullish 85 % (9.65) ▼ Bearish 15 % (1.77)

model score 84.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

00:00TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 4h
13:30November 16, 2026USDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 2 days
20:00November 16, 2026NZDRBNZ Financial Stability Report●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.21
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.77
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.09
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 1H chart suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish across all timeframes.
Resistance at 0.56140 is the key level to watch; a break above could signal a stronger reversal.
Choppy market conditions (CHOP) and a lack of support make the bounce less reliable, so caution is advised.
Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HMA) and candlestick patterns (Bullish Engulfing, Spinning Top) align for a bullish push.

The 1H chart for NZD/USD is flashing a confluence of bullish signals, including a Bullish Engulfing pattern, a Spinning Top, and multiple momentum indicators turning up (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up) after an extreme low exit in the ZSCORE. This suggests a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend. However, the higher timeframes (15m to 1d) all remain bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid downtrends. The choppy market condition (CHOP) adds uncertainty, meaning the bounce could be limited.

Key resistance sits at 0.56140, which aligns with the recent price action and could cap upside. The absence of a defined support level means downside risk is open, but the extreme low exit and bullish candlestick patterns hint at seller exhaustion. Traders should watch for a break above 0.56140 to signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold the current bounce could see renewed selling pressure.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of bullish signals: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit.
▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Engulfing and Spinning Top) indicate potential reversal.
▲ Extreme low exit in ZSCORE suggests oversold conditions may be ripe for a bounce.
▲ Strong signal probability (84%) and strength (strong) increase confidence in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 1D) are all bearish, which could overwhelm the 1H bullish signals.
▼ Choppy market (CHOP) may lead to false signals or limited follow-through.
▼ Resistance at 0.56140 is nearby and could cap upside; a failure to break it would invalidate the bullish case.
▼ No defined support level means downside risk is open if the bounce fails.