NZD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW
26 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
0.55246
Target
0.54956 +0.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56496 −2.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,136 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,136 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.42 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.22 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.24 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, DEMA Break Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (43.34)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
NZD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 5h
  • November 16, 2026USDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 2 days
  • November 16, 2026NZDRBNZ Financial Stability Report●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 3.15
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.94
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.84
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.71
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.45
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.31
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.89
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.83

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart, with multiple moving average and momentum indicators aligned to the downside.
  • Solid bearish trends on 1H, 2H, and 1D timeframes support the sell signal, while higher timeframes (4H-12H) are still forming their downtrends.
  • Resistance at 0.56496 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • No nearby support is defined, so downside targets are unclear and moves could be volatile.
The 2H chart for NZD/USD has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic KD cross down, a break below the lower Bollinger Band, and breakdowns/retreats across DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, and MAMA price lines. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong selling pressure on the 2H timeframe, with the signal strength rated as very strong and a probability score of 100%. Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish but choppy, while the 1H, 2H, and 1D timeframes show solid bearish trends, confirming alignment across the most relevant horizons. The 4H to 12H timeframes are still forming their bearish trends, suggesting that the move is still developing on higher levels.

Immediate resistance is defined at 0.56496, which now acts as a key ceiling for any corrective bounce. With no nearby support level identified, the path of least resistance is to the downside, but traders should be cautious of the lack of a defined support zone, which could lead to sharp moves if the trend accelerates. The bearish alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the solid trends on 1H, 2H, and 1D, supports the continuation of the sell-off, but the choppy lower timeframes and the absence of a clear support level introduce uncertainty. Monitoring price action around the resistance level and any shift in higher timeframe trends will be crucial for validating the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of over a dozen bearish signals, including Stochastic KD cross down and breaks below Bollinger Bands, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, and MAMA lines.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 1H, 2H, and 1D timeframes, all showing solid bearish trends (3/5 strength).
  • ▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with a 100% probability score, indicating high conviction in the setup.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.56496 provides a clear invalidation level, giving traders a defined risk reference.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or a temporary pause in the decline.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H-12H) are only showing trend-forming bearish momentum (2/5), so the larger trend may not be fully established yet.
  • ▲ The absence of a defined support level means there is no obvious target, and price could stall or reverse if it reaches a psychological or historical support zone.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.56496 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-13 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.56496 2026-11-10
R2 0.56581 2026-11-05
R3 0.57076 2026-10-27

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