NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-13 08:30 UTC 22 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %

Entry

0.55389

Target

0.55516 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55274 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, HMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +24% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (14.02) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 4h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 4h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 6h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.10
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.50
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.22
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce in NZD/USD.
The broader trend is bearish across higher timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.55516 for a potential breakout; support at 0.55381 is the invalidation level.
Momentum indicators are turning up from oversold levels, but confirmation is needed.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Falling Wedge pattern, a CCI OS Exit, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, an HMA Break Up, and a High Wave Bullish candlestick. Together, these indicate that downside momentum is waning and a short-term bounce is likely. The Falling Wedge, a classic reversal pattern, suggests that the recent downtrend may be losing steam, while the oscillator exits from oversold conditions and the HMA break point to upward price action. The High Wave Bullish candle adds a candlestick confirmation of buying interest.

However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with solid downtrends on the 1H, 2H, and daily charts. This suggests that any upside is likely corrective rather than a full trend reversal. The immediate resistance at 0.55516 is the first hurdle; a break above it could extend the bounce, while support at 0.55381 is the key level to watch. If price fails to hold above this support, the bullish signals would be invalidated and the broader downtrend could resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple signal types (indicator, candlestick, chart pattern) align in the bullish direction.
▲ Falling Wedge pattern suggests a potential reversal from the recent downtrend.
▲ Oscillators (CCI, STOCHF) exiting oversold territory indicate buying pressure.
▲ HMA break up confirms short-term momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 2H, daily) are bearish, which could cap any rally.
▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish, so the bullish signals may be premature.
▼ A drop below support at 0.55381 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Resistance at 0.55516 is nearby and may halt the bounce.