USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
26 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
159.935
Target
160.222 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
159.314 −0.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, VIDYA Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 91 % (33.68) ▼ Bearish 9 % (3.24)
model score 91.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 6h
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ VIDYA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 2.01
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.94
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.66
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.61
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.58

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, STOCHRSI) have crossed bullish, signaling a strong short-term bounce.
  • The 30-minute trend is still bearish, but higher timeframes (2h-1d) are bullish, creating a mixed but generally supportive backdrop.
  • Watch the resistance at 160.190 for confirmation; a break above would strengthen the bullish case.
  • Support at 159.652 is the key invalidation level—if broken, the bullish signal fails.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including BOP, CCI, CMO, and STOCHRSI zero/KD crosses, alongside BBANDS middle and EMA/KAMA retreats. This points to a short-term momentum shift from bearish to bullish, with the pair attempting to reclaim the 30-minute EMA 50. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: lower timeframes (15m-1h) remain bearish and choppy, while higher timeframes (2h-1d) are bullish but only weakly trending. The confluence of multiple momentum oscillators suggests a strong near-term bounce, but the lack of trend strength (DX Trend Weak) and choppiness across all timeframes argue for a range-bound recovery rather than a sustained breakout.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 160.190 and support at 159.652. A decisive close above resistance would confirm bullish momentum and open the path toward higher targets, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the high probability score (91%) and very strong strength, the signal favors buying pullbacks toward support, but traders should remain cautious given the conflicting short-term bearish trend and the weak trend scores across timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of 12+ bullish indicator signals on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, providing a supportive macro context.
  • ▲ Price is holding above the 30-minute EMA 50 and KAMA, indicating short-term upward momentum.
  • ▲ Strong signal probability (91%) and very strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish and choppy, which could cap upside and lead to a false breakout.
  • ▼ Trend strength is weak (DX Trend Weak), suggesting the move may lack conviction.
  • ▼ A break below support at 159.652 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a deeper decline.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend itself is still bearish, so the signal may only represent a counter-trend bounce.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-13 16:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.19000 2026-11-13
S1 159.65200 2026-11-13
S2 159.31400 2026-11-12
S3 158.66500 2026-11-11

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