AVAX/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-14 08:00 UTC 32 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.27 %

Entry

8.0200

Target

8.6360 +7.68 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.7730 −3.08 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 7,927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,927 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.63 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.48 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.49 % 23 % at stop avg −2.03 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT SINE Zero Cross Up, CHOP Trending, CCI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Intraday

▲ Bullish 100 % (10.65) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.25
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.85
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.68
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 1H suggest a short-term bounce, but the larger trend is still bearish.
Resistance at 8.63600 is the immediate upside hurdle; a break could open further gains.
Support at 8.00000 is critical; losing it invalidates the bullish setup.
This is a counter-trend move, so position sizing and stop-losses are crucial.

The 1H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI exiting oversold territory, a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band, a sine wave zero cross, and an inverted hammer candlestick. These collectively suggest a short-term bounce attempt within a broader bearish trend. The trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1H trend only just forming (2/5) and longer timeframes still choppy or sideways, indicating that this is a counter-trend move rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 8.63600 and support at 8.00000. A break above resistance could signal a stronger bullish shift, while a loss of support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish context, with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators align on the 1H timeframe, including BOP, CCI, and Bollinger Bands.
▲ Inverted hammer candlestick adds a price-action confirmation of buying pressure.
▲ The 1H trend is forming, suggesting early momentum may be building.
▲ Strong signal strength (100% probability) increases confidence in the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, which could overwhelm the 1H bounce.
▼ The 1H trend score is only 2/5, indicating the bullish shift is not yet confirmed.
▼ If price fails to hold above 8.00000 support, the bounce is invalidated.
▼ Choppy conditions on longer timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.