BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-14 00:00 UTC 23 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

68,329.00

Target

70,214.31 +2.76 %

closes in profit

Stop

68,103.00 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,326 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Up, ALMA Break Up, HMA Break Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 83 % (11.44) ▼ Bearish 17 % (2.36)

model score 82.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.2 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 4,972 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.56
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.46
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.05
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.37
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.99
▼	Bearish Doji Star	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30M suggest a potential bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is strongly bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 70214.31 and support at 68103.00 for confirmation or invalidation.
The probability of 82% reflects strong intraday momentum, not a trend reversal.
Treat this as a counter-trend long with tight risk controls.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a DEMA Break Up, ALMA Break Up, HMA Break Up, and an AO Saucer Bullish, alongside candlestick patterns like a Northern Doji and a Bearish Doji Star. These signals collectively suggest that short-term momentum is attempting to shift from bearish to bullish, with the price likely staging a bounce off the nearest support at 68103.00. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains firmly bearish, with 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing very strong downtrends. This creates a conflicting picture: the bullish signals on the 30M are counter-trend against a dominant bearish structure, and the probability of 82% reflects the strength of the intraday setup but not necessarily a reversal of the larger trend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 70214.31 and support at 68103.00. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the broader downtrend. The trend scores across timeframes are weak on the 15M and 30M (2/5), but solid to very strong on the 1H and above, indicating that the recent bearish pressure is still intact. Traders should treat this as a potential short-term long opportunity within a larger bearish trend, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicator signals (DEMA, ALMA, HMA, AO Saucer) align on the 30M timeframe.
▲ Candlestick patterns like Northern Doji and Bearish Doji Star often mark potential reversal points.
▲ Price is near a key support level, which may attract buying interest.
▲ The 30M trend score is weak (2/5), leaving room for a short-term bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are in very strong downtrends, which could overwhelm the 30M bullish attempt.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 68103.00, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The Bearish Doji Star can also signal indecision; momentum may fade quickly.
▼ Resistance at 70214.31 is nearby and could cap upside, especially given the bearish higher timeframe context.