BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-14 16:30 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.78 %

Entry

65,349.01

Target

67,523.05 +3.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

64,840.25 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,558 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,558 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.09 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	2.01
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.16
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.65

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals on 30M suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish.
The 90% probability reflects the strong confluence of indicators, not a change in the overall downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 67523.05; a break above it could extend the bounce, while failure keeps the bearish bias.
No defined support below current price means downside risk is open; manage longs with tight stops.

The signal stack on BTC/USDT 30M is firing a cluster of bullish reversal indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, and a Gapping Down Doji — suggesting that the immediate downside momentum may be exhausting and a short-term bounce could be underway. However, the broader context is firmly bearish: every timeframe from 15m up to 12h shows a very strong or extremely strong downtrend, with only the daily trend still forming. This creates a classic counter-trend setup where the 30M reversal signals are trying to catch a falling knife, and the probability rating of 90% reflects the confluence of these indicators but does not override the overwhelming bearish trend alignment.

Traders should treat this as a potential tactical long within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 67523.05 is the immediate upside target and a key level to watch; a failure to reclaim it would keep the bearish structure intact. The absence of a defined support level below current price means downside risk is open, so any long should be tightly managed with the invalidation level placed below the recent swing low (which is not specified). The confluence of multiple reversal signals on the 30M chart gives the bounce some credibility, but the extremely strong bearish trends on higher timeframes argue for caution and quick profit-taking.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple reversal signals (BOP, STOCH, STOCHF, HMA, candlestick) align on the 30M timeframe, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
▲ Oversold conditions (STOCH OS Exit) and a bullish cross in the stochastic favor upward price action in the short term.
▲ The Gapping Down Doji often signals indecision and potential reversal after a sharp decline, adding to the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ The overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 12h) argues against a sustained move higher; the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ The nearest resistance at 67523.05 could cap upside and act as a selling zone.
▼ If the 30M reversal fails and price breaks below the recent swing low, the signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
▼ The daily trend is still forming, so a larger reversal is not yet confirmed; momentum could fade quickly.