BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-14 01:00 UTC 29 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

68,312.63

Target

68,103.00 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

70,214.31 −2.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,326 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, SMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +25% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (29.02)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 01:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.13
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.04
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.03
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.98
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bearish confluence: trendline break, bearish engulfing, and retreats across multiple moving averages all firing together.
Bearish trends across nearly all timeframes (15m to 12h) reinforce the sell signal, with the strongest trends on higher timeframes.
Key downside target is the nearest support at 68103.00; nearest resistance at 70214.31 is the level to watch for invalidation.
The very strong signal strength and 100% probability indicate high conviction, but confirmation of price action is still essential.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, reinforced by a cascade of retreat signals across key moving averages (EMA, SMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, MAMA) and a BOP Zero Cross Down. This confluence indicates a strong shift in intraday momentum, with selling pressure overwhelming buyers at the current level. The alignment across timeframes is compelling: the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour charts all show solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 15-minute and daily charts are also bearish but still forming. This broad agreement across nearly all timeframes suggests the bearish move is not just a short-term blip but part of a larger downtrend.

Immediate downside focus is the nearest support at 68103.00, while any bounce may find resistance at 70214.31. The signal's very strong probability and strength, combined with the multi-timeframe alignment, point to continued downward pressure in the near term. However, traders should monitor whether price can hold below the broken trendline and the 30-minute moving averages; a reclaim above the nearest resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential reversal. As always, risk management is key, and levels should be watched for confirmation of the move or early signs of exhaustion.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment: solid to very strong trends on 30m through 12h, with daily also bearish.
▼ Confluence of candlestick, trendline, and indicator signals all pointing in the same direction.
▼ Breakdown of a trendline combined with a bearish engulfing pattern suggests a decisive shift in control.
▼ Retreats across EMA, SMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and MAMA confirm broad-based selling momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ A reclaim of the broken trendline and the nearest resistance at 70214.31 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The daily timeframe is only 'trend forming' (2/5), which could limit the depth of the move if higher-timeframe momentum stalls.
▲ If price holds above the nearest support and forms a higher low, the bearish signal could fade into a range.
▲ Overextended conditions after such a strong move might invite a short-term bounce, so chasing the sell could be risky.