BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-14 16:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.95 %

Entry

65,727.61

Target

65,103.99 +0.95 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,196.01 −23.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 2,429 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,429 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +2.44 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.74 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 23 % at stop avg −3.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 41,828 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.64
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	3.10
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.97
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Doji Star	candlestick	1.03
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.98
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 4H chart points to strong downward momentum.
Trend alignment across timeframes is exceptionally bearish, with strong scores from 30m to 12h.
Key resistance at 81196.01 is the level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Bullish reversal candlesticks (Doji Star, Matching Low) suggest possible short-term bounce or consolidation.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a MAMA Price Break Down, T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, and ER Level Cross Down, all pointing to sustained downward momentum. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggest that while the trend is strongly bearish, the market may be entering a phase of extreme negativity, which could precede a short-term bounce. The candlestick patterns—Bullish Doji Star and Matching Low—add a note of caution, hinting at possible exhaustion of the selling pressure near current levels.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is remarkably consistent, with strong to extremely strong trend scores from 30m up to 12h, and a solid bearish trend on the 15m. The daily timeframe shows a trend still forming, which could mean the larger picture hasn't fully committed to a long-term downtrend. The nearest resistance at 81196.01 is a key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup, while a failure to hold below this level could confirm further downside. However, with no support level defined, the path of least resistance remains lower, but the presence of bullish reversal candlesticks warns of potential short-term volatility.

Catalysts

▼ Extremely strong trend scores across multiple timeframes (2H at 5/5, others at 4/5) confirm the bearish bias.
▼ Multiple indicator breakdowns (MAMA, T3, ALMA, ER) reinforce the strength of the downtrend.
▼ The price is trading below the nearest resistance, with no defined support, favoring further downside.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe shows only a forming trend (2/5), indicating the larger trend may not be fully bearish.
▲ The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit and bullish candlestick patterns (Doji Star, Matching Low) could trigger a short-term bounce.
▲ A break above the 81196.01 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could lead to a reversal.
▲ Momentum may be fading as the market enters extreme oversold conditions, increasing the risk of a pullback.