NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
34 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
0.55239
Target
0.55130 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.55447 −0.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,643 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,643 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 41,828 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 15 % (5.09) ▼ Bearish 85 % (29.91)
model score 11.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
NZD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 10h
  • TomorrowUSDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 13h
  • TomorrowNZDRBNZ Financial Stability Report●●○in 20h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.03
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.65
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.48
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.17
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.01
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 0.91
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 0.60

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart aligns with bearish trends across multiple timeframes.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.55447 is the critical level to monitor for invalidation.
  • Higher timeframe trends (1H, 2H, 1D) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell signal.
  • Lack of nearby support means downside targets are undefined; use the resistance level for risk management.
The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat-down signals from EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, and MAMA PRICE. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure on the short-term timeframe, with the 15-minute and 30-minute trends both bearish but choppy, suggesting the move may be part of a broader downtrend rather than a fresh reversal.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trends on the 1-hour, 2-hour, and daily charts, and trend forming on the 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes. This alignment supports the bearish bias. The nearest resistance at 0.55447 is a key level to watch; a break above it would signal weakening bearish momentum. With no defined support nearby, downside targets are less clear, so traders should manage risk carefully.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, MA, KAMA, MAMA) on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, and daily timeframes.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores on higher timeframes (3/5) indicate solid momentum.
  • ▼ Retreat-down signals from multiple moving averages suggest consistent selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30-minute trend is bullish (though choppy), conflicting with the bearish signal on that timeframe.
  • ▲ Choppy price action on lower timeframes (15m and 30m) could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.55447 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could stall the move, especially with no immediate support.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-15 22:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.55447 2026-11-13
R2 0.55516 2026-11-13
R3 0.55679 2026-11-12

Tags

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