News report 🌐 Macro 🌍 United States

S&P 500 Slips 0.38% as 2yr Treasury Yield Jumps 17.6bps to 4.74%

The S&P 500 fell 0.38% as a 17.6bps surge in 2-year Treasury yields to 4.74% triggered a broader equity selloff, though CoreWeave's strong Q3 results and upgraded guidance offered a late-session recovery signal.

🕐 1 min read

5 assets impacted (Stocks, Bonds). Net bias: 2 Bullish, 3 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: CRWV ↑ 6/10 (80% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (5)

CRWV
Bullish 🤖 80%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

After the close, CoreWeave delivered a Q3 revenue beat of $3.66bn versus $3.56bn expected and upgraded full-year revenue guidance to $13.0-13.3bn versus $12.9bn estimated. Hard beats plus raised guidance typically lift the stock, and the results already supported S&P futures despite the hostile rates backdrop.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Q3 revenue of $3.66bn beat the $3.56bn estimate
  • ▲ Full-year revenue guidance upgraded to $13.0-13.3bn vs $12.9bn est.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Broad pressure on tech and AI-linked names from higher yields and hawkish Fed pricing could limit the upside
US02Y
Bullish 🤖 75%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Strong CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary drove the 2-year yield up 17.6bps to 4.74%, its biggest daily jump since April 2025, with markets even pricing a modest chance of a 50bp December hike. Momentum points to yields staying elevated, though further data could shift pricing either way.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong US CPI data
  • ▲ Hawkish Fed commentary
Risk Factors
  • ▼ CoreWeave's results eased equity pressure, which could temper further yield moves if risk sentiment stabilises
SPX
Bearish 🤖 70%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Strong US CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary drove the 2yr yield up 17.6bps to 4.74% and pushed the S&P 500 down 0.38%, with markets pricing even a modest chance of a 50bp hike in December. Higher yields weigh on equity valuations, though CoreWeave's post-close beat and raised guidance point to some recovery in futures.

Catalysts
  • ▼ 2yr Treasury yield jumped 17.6bps to 4.74%, biggest daily rise since April 2025
  • ▼ Markets pricing a modest chance of a 50bp Fed hike in December
Risk Factors
  • ▲ CoreWeave's revenue beat and upgraded full-year guidance ($13.0-13.3bn vs $12.9bn est.) eased pressure on futures
  • ▲ The equity selloff eased a bit as the session went on
COMP
Bearish 🤖 65%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Tech underperformed on the rates shock, with the Nasdaq down 0.74% versus the S&P 500's 0.38% decline, led by a -5.47% drop in Nvidia. Higher yields and expectations of faster Fed hikes hit growth and AI-linked names hardest, though CoreWeave's results offered some late support.

Catalysts
  • ▼ Nvidia fell -5.47%, dragging the Nasdaq (-0.74%) and Mag-7 (-0.83%) to larger declines than the S&P 500
  • ▼ Hawkish Fed pricing with a modest chance of a 50bp December hike
Risk Factors
  • ▲ CoreWeave's upgraded guidance ($13.0-13.3bn vs $12.9bn est.) supported futures and eased some pressure
  • ▲ The selloff in US equities eased a bit as the session went on
NVDA
Bearish 🤖 60%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Nvidia dropped -5.47% as the rates shock and hawkish Fed pricing hit AI-linked tech names hardest, leading the Nasdaq lower. As the highest-profile AI exposure, it remains sensitive to further yield rises, though CoreWeave's raised AI-related guidance may lend some support.

Catalysts
  • ▼ -5.47% drop in Nvidia leading the Nasdaq (-0.74%) lower
  • ▼ Markets pricing faster Fed hikes, including a modest chance of a 50bp December hike
Risk Factors
  • ▲ CoreWeave's Q3 revenue beat and upgraded full-year revenue guidance supported tech-related sentiment after the close

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • The 2-year Treasury yield rose 17.6bps to 4.74%, marking the largest daily jump since April 2025.
  • The S&P 500 declined 0.38%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.74% amid a hawkish shift in Fed rate expectations.
  • Nvidia shares dropped 5.47%, leading a 0.83% decline in the Magnificent 7 index.
  • CoreWeave reported Q3 revenue of $3.66bn, beating the $3.56bn estimate, and raised full-year revenue guidance to $13.0-13.3bn.

📝 Executive Summary

US equities faced pressure as strong CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary drove the 2-year Treasury yield up 17.6bps to 4.74%, the largest daily increase since April 2025. The S&P 500 fell 0.38% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq declined 0.74%, led by a 5.47% drop in Nvidia. Despite the broader selloff, CoreWeave provided late support to futures after reporting a Q3 revenue beat and raising full-year guidance.

❓ FAQ

CRWV · What did CoreWeave report?

CoreWeave reported Q3 revenue of $3.66bn versus $3.56bn expected and raised its full-year revenue guidance to $13.0-13.3bn versus a $12.9bn estimate.

US02Y · Why did short-term Treasury yields jump?

Strong US CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary led markets to price faster hikes, sending the 2-year yield up 17.6bps to 4.74%, its biggest daily jump since April 2025.

SPX · Why did the S&P 500 fall?

Hot US CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary sent Treasury yields sharply higher, leading investors to price in faster Fed hikes, which pressured equities.

SPX · Is there any support for stocks?

CoreWeave's post-close revenue beat and upgraded full-year revenue guidance supported S&P futures, pointing to some recovery.

COMP · Why is tech hit harder than the broader market?

Tech and AI-linked names underperformed as surging yields and expectations of faster Fed hikes weighed most on growth stocks, with Nvidia down 5.47% leading the Nasdaq's 0.74% decline.

NVDA · Why did Nvidia fall?

Nvidia fell 5.47% as hot CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary drove a Treasury selloff, hitting tech and AI-linked names hardest.