USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.24 %
Entry
158.061
Target
158.752 +0.44 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.520 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CMO OS Exit, ULTOSC OS Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 376 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 96%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.19
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 2.15
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 2.05
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.99
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.98
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.69
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.62
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.60
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.20
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.10
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.01

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple oversold indicators exiting together signal strong buying momentum on the 1H chart.
  • The bullish signal is in direct conflict with the bearish higher-timeframe trends, so caution is advised.
  • Watch the 158.75200 resistance; a break above could confirm the reversal, while failure may lead to a pullback.
  • The 157.52000 support is the key invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
The 1H USD/JPY chart is firing a cluster of bullish momentum signals, with a 78% probability and strong strength. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while the exits from oversold conditions on CMO, RSI, STOCH, ULTOSC, and WILLR suggest that downside momentum has been exhausted. The STOCH KD Cross Up adds to the bullish momentum picture, and the HT SINE Cross Down and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicate a potential shift from a downtrend to a cyclical upswing. The signal groups include fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick, suggesting a confluence of technical factors supporting a bullish move.

However, the higher timeframes are mostly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, and 2h charts showing solid or very strong bearish trends. The 15m is bullish but only moderately so, while the 4h and above are choppy/sideways. This creates a conflict: the 1H signal is bullish, but the prevailing trend on higher timeframes is down. The nearest resistance at 158.75200 is a key level to watch; a break above could signal a reversal, but if price fails there, the bullish signal may be a false start. The nearest support at 157.52000 is the invalidation zone for this bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of oversold exits across RSI, CMO, ULTOSC, and WILLR, plus a STOCH KD cross up, indicates strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up signals improving buying power.
  • ▲ HT SINE cross down and HT TRENDMODE mode to cycle suggest a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish on the 1H.
  • ▲ Signal groups include fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick, adding technical confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bearish, which could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 4H and above are choppy/sideways, lacking a clear trend to support a sustained move.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 158.75200, the bullish momentum may fade and lead to a retest of support.
  • ▼ A break below 157.52000 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger further downside.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-13 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.75200 2026-10-12
S1 157.52000 2026-10-08
S2 157.43800 2026-10-05

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