USD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CMO OS Exit, ULTOSC OS Exit +8 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest | fibonacci | 2.19 |
| ▲ | CMO OS Exit | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | ULTOSC OS Exit | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | KDJ Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Exit | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.01 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple oversold indicators exiting together signal strong buying momentum on the 1H chart.
- The bullish signal is in direct conflict with the bearish higher-timeframe trends, so caution is advised.
- Watch the 158.75200 resistance; a break above could confirm the reversal, while failure may lead to a pullback.
- The 157.52000 support is the key invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
However, the higher timeframes are mostly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, and 2h charts showing solid or very strong bearish trends. The 15m is bullish but only moderately so, while the 4h and above are choppy/sideways. This creates a conflict: the 1H signal is bullish, but the prevailing trend on higher timeframes is down. The nearest resistance at 158.75200 is a key level to watch; a break above could signal a reversal, but if price fails there, the bullish signal may be a false start. The nearest support at 157.52000 is the invalidation zone for this bullish setup.
- ▲ Confluence of oversold exits across RSI, CMO, ULTOSC, and WILLR, plus a STOCH KD cross up, indicates strong buying pressure.
- ▲ BOP zero cross up signals improving buying power.
- ▲ HT SINE cross down and HT TRENDMODE mode to cycle suggest a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish on the 1H.
- ▲ Signal groups include fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick, adding technical confluence.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bearish, which could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
- ▼ The 4H and above are choppy/sideways, lacking a clear trend to support a sustained move.
- ▼ If price fails to break above 158.75200, the bullish momentum may fade and lead to a retest of support.
- ▼ A break below 157.52000 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger further downside.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.75200 | 2026-10-12 |
| S1 | 157.52000 | 2026-10-08 |
| S2 | 157.43800 | 2026-10-05 |