USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-13 17:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.04 %

Entry

158.385

Target

157.520 +0.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.752 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, TRIMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.92
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 1H with multiple indicators confirming a pullback from resistance.
Short-term timeframes (15m/30m) are bullish, so watch for a potential bounce before the move continues.
Key support at 158.076 is the level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling.
Resistance at 158.752 is the invalidation zone; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup.

The 1H USD/JPY chart is flashing a bearish signal as multiple indicators converge on a retreat from resistance. The BOP Zero Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Up suggest waning buying pressure and a potential momentum shift, while the WILLR OB Entry indicates overbought conditions. The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and TRIMA Retreat Down all point to price pulling back from key moving averages and a trendline, reinforcing the bearish case. The Northern Doji candlestick adds a note of indecision at the highs, often preceding a reversal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but supportive of the 1H bearish signal. The 15m and 30m are bullish, indicating a short-term bounce that may be fading, while the 1H and 2H are bearish, with the 2H trend forming. The 4H, 8H, and 12H are bearish but choppy, suggesting the larger trend is not strongly directional. The 1D is bullish but only trend forming. This alignment suggests the 1H signal is a counter-trend move against the short-term bullish momentum, but it aligns with the medium-term bearish bias. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.752 and support at 158.076; a break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, MACD, WILLR, HT Trendline, MA, TRIMA) all point to bearish momentum.
▼ Overbought conditions (WILLR OB) and a doji candlestick at highs suggest exhaustion.
▼ Medium-term timeframes (1H, 2H) are bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ Price retreating from a trendline and moving averages adds confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term timeframes (15m/30m) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the bearish move resumes.
▲ The 1D trend is bullish, which may provide support and limit downside.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 158.752, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 1H trend score weakens or if the 2H trend does not strengthen.