USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-13 14:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.13 %

Entry

158.155

Target

158.752 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.520 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CTI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 376 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.27
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.15
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.62
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.58

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals fired on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 158.75200 is the immediate hurdle; a break above could open further upside, while support at 158.07600 is the invalidation zone.
The cluster of indicators (STOCHRSI, MIDPOINT, T3, CTI, ERI, Fibonacci) provides strong confluence for the bounce.
Watch for the 30M trend to shift from bearish to bullish to confirm the bounce has legs.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Up, CTI OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level. These indicators collectively suggest that short-term momentum has shifted upward, with the retreat of price from the midpoint and T3 lines indicating that buyers are stepping in after a pullback. The Fibonacci break further confirms that the recent corrective move has been reclaimed, adding confluence to the bullish case.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and daily timeframes show bullish tendencies, the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes remain in solid bearish trends, and higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish but choppy. This means the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.75200 is a critical level; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure could see price retest support at 158.07600. Traders should watch for momentum to sustain above the midpoint and T3 lines, and for the 30-minute trend to begin turning bullish.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (STOCHRSI, MIDPOINT, T3, CTI, ERI) all fired bullish simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level suggests the pullback has been reclaimed, a classic bullish continuation signal.
▲ The 15-minute and daily timeframes are bullish, providing some support for the bounce.
▲ Price is holding above the nearest support at 158.07600, which could act as a springboard.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes are in solid bearish trends, which could overwhelm the short-term bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 158.75200, the bounce could fizzle and lead to a retest of support.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, albeit choppy, so the overall trend is not supportive of sustained upside.
▼ Momentum could fade if the STOCHRSI and other oscillators reach overbought levels quickly, stalling the advance.