USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-13 07:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

158.275

Target

157.520 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.752 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.78
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 15m and 30m timeframes, with multiple indicators aligning to the downside.
Immediate support at 158.07600 is the key level to watch; a break below could extend the move.
Resistance at 158.75200 is the invalidation zone; a move above would negate the bearish signal.
Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are still bullish, so this is likely a short-term bearish correction within a larger uptrend.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA). This confluence of momentum, oscillator, and trend-following indicators points to strong selling pressure at the current levels. The bearish alignment is most pronounced on the lower timeframes, with a very strong bearish trend on the 15-minute and a solid bearish trend on the 30-minute, while the 1-hour is just beginning to turn lower. This suggests the immediate momentum is firmly down, but the higher timeframes are not yet in full agreement, with the 8-hour and 12-hour still showing bullish but choppy conditions. Therefore, the signal is best treated as a short-term bearish move within a larger, less-defined context.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 158.75200 and support at 158.07600. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (89%) and very strong strength of the signal suggest a high conviction trade, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor the price action at these levels and be prepared for potential consolidation or a bounce if the higher timeframe trends reassert themselves.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, oscillator) all firing bearish signals simultaneously.
▼ Very strong signal strength (89% probability) and strong trend scores on the 15m and 30m timeframes.
▼ The bearish trend is forming on the 1h timeframe, suggesting the move may have room to develop.
▼ Price is currently below the nearest resistance, and the retreat of key moving averages supports continued downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are still bullish, which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ The 2h and 4h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend direction on those scales.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 158.75200, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The WILLR OS Entry signal suggests the market may be oversold, which could lead to a short-term bounce.