USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-14 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.47 %

Entry

158.865

Target

159.162 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.114 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up, HMA Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.79
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.68
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.65
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.57
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.43
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.38
▲	EMA Break Up	indicator	2.30
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a STOCH KD Cross Up and multiple moving-average breakouts (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA). The retreat of the EMA 200 and the higher-timeframe trendline also turning up suggest the pullback has ended and momentum is rotating back to the upside. With 14 signals aligning across candlestick and indicator groups, the setup carries a very strong probability rating, though the nearest support at 158.11400 is the immediate line in the sand.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leaning constructive: the 15m and 30m are both bullish with trend scores at 2/5, and the daily is also bullish at 2/5, indicating a forming uptrend. However, the 1h through 4h are only mildly bullish and choppy, while the 8h and 12h remain bearish. This means the current bullish push is a lower-timeframe event that needs to break through the sluggish higher-timeframe resistance to gain traction. Traders should watch for sustained closes above the breakout levels and a shift in the 1h trend score to confirm the move.

Symbol USD/JPY

Timeframe 30M

Direction BUY

Conviction 6%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-10-14 16:00

cat_ Forex Forex