USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-10-15 22:00 UTC 5 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

158.119

Target

158.949 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.583 −0.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OB Exit, SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, MAMA Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (82.29) ▼ Bearish 3 % (2.61)

model score 96.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	2.51
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.27
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	2.27
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.35
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.31
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of 1H bullish signals (DI, DM, MAMA, BOP) suggests short-term upward momentum.
Pullback to moving averages (KAMA, SMA 200) may offer dynamic support.
Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Key levels: resistance at 158.94900, support at 157.58300.

The 1H USD/JPY signal stack is overwhelmingly bullish in the near term, with a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators firing together. The BOP Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Up, DM Cross Up, and MAMA Cross Up all point to renewed buying pressure, while the STOCH OB Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Down suggest that the recent pullback in momentum may be exhausting, setting up for a continuation higher. The KAMA and SMA 200 Retreat Down signals indicate that price has pulled back to key moving averages, which could act as dynamic support. The confluence of these signals on the 1H timeframe suggests a short-term bullish bias, with the nearest resistance at 158.94900 as the primary upside target and nearest support at 157.58300 as the key level to hold.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes are bullish, the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H are all bearish, creating a conflicting outlook. The overall trend strength is weak (1-2/5) across most timeframes, indicating that the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. Traders should watch whether price can break above the 158.94900 resistance to confirm the bullish momentum, or if it fails and falls back below support, which would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (DI, DM, MAMA) aligned bullish on the 1H.
▲ Oscillators exiting overbought/oversold conditions (STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down) suggest a fresh push.
▲ Price retreating to key moving averages may attract buyers.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, supporting the immediate bias.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bearish, which could override the 1H bullish signal.
▼ Overall trend strength is weak, so the move may lack conviction.
▼ Failure to break above 158.94900 could lead to a reversal.
▼ A break below 157.58300 would invalidate the bullish setup.