EUR/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
49 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
0.92642
Target
0.92898 +0.28 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.92277 −0.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −18.3 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Scalping
▲ Bullish 62 % (8.80) ▼ Bearish 38 % (5.38)
model score 8.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.8 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.54
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.51
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.34
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.32
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.31
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.27
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.08

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The BUY signal is a short-term counter-trend bounce within a strong bearish trend across higher timeframes.
  • Resistance at 0.92771 is the immediate ceiling; a break above it would signal stronger bullish momentum.
  • Support at 0.92277 is the invalidation zone; losing it would confirm the bearish trend and negate the signal.
  • Weak signal strength and conflicting higher timeframes suggest caution; the bounce may be shallow and short-lived.
The EUR/CHF 30-minute signal fires a BUY despite a broad bearish backdrop across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes to 1 day. The signal is driven by a cluster of indicator retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, SMA 50) and zero-cross events (BOP, DPO, ERI) that suggest a short-term bounce attempt within a prevailing downtrend. The probability is moderate at 62% with weak strength, indicating the move is tentative and likely limited in scope.

Trend alignment is firmly bearish across higher timeframes, with very strong trends on the 2h through 12h charts. This creates a conflict: the 30-minute signal seeks to exploit a minor counter-trend move, but the higher timeframes argue for continuation of the bearish trend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.92771, which may cap any upside, and support at 0.92277, which if broken would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicator retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, SMA 50) converge on the 30-minute chart, indicating a potential short-term upward correction.
  • ▲ Zero-cross events (BOP, DPO, ERI) add confluence for a bullish impulse, even within a bearish context.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance is relatively close, offering a clear target for a limited bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2h to 12h) are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm any 30-minute bounce.
  • ▼ The signal's weak strength and moderate probability suggest limited conviction; momentum may fade quickly.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.92277, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ The resistance at 0.92771 may act as a strong barrier, capping upside and triggering a reversal.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-20 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.92771 2026-10-16
R2 0.92898 2026-10-16
R3 0.93153 2026-10-15
S1 0.92277 2026-10-20
S2 0.92263 2026-10-19
S3 0.92145 2026-10-19

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