AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
0.98286
Target
0.98878 +0.60 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97907 −0.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,172 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,172 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday
▲ Bullish 81 % (12.54) ▼ Bearish 19 % (2.96)
model score 4.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 692 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.55
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.47
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.36
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.34
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.24
▲ High Wave Bullish candlestick 1.22
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.09
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.00
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish 1H signal fires against a uniformly bearish macro trend, likely a counter-trend move.
  • Resistance at 0.98878 is the immediate upside target; support at 0.98114 is the invalidation zone.
  • Strong signal confluence (BOP, KDJ, SMI, TEMA, TTM) supports a bounce, but higher timeframes argue caution.
  • Trade with tight stops and quick profit-taking; do not expect a sustained reversal.
The 1H AUD/CAD signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, and TEMA Retreat Up — alongside a TTM TREND Trend Up, suggesting a short-term momentum shift within a broader downtrend. The confluence of these oscillators and trend-following tools points to a potential bounce or reversal attempt, but the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly bearish across all timeframes (15m to 1d), with the strongest bearish alignment at 30m and 1H (3/5). This creates a conflicting picture: the 1H signal is strong and bullish, yet the macro trend is consistently down, implying the signal may be capturing a counter-trend correction rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98114. A sustained move above resistance would help validate the bullish signal, while a break below support would invalidate it and confirm the broader downtrend. Given the bearish higher timeframes and choppy/sideways conditions on 15m and 1D, traders should treat this as a high-probability but short-lived opportunity, with tight risk management essential.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, KDJ, SMI, STOCHRSI) all cross up, confirming momentum shift.
  • ▲ TEMA Retreat Up and TTM TREND Trend Up indicate early trend inflection on the 1H chart.
  • ▲ Signal probability 80% with strong strength suggests high-confidence setup.
  • ▲ Proximity to support at 0.98114 provides a clear invalidation level for risk management.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ All higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, with solid trends on 30m and 1H, so the bullish signal may be a temporary correction.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on 15m and 1D reduce reliability of the signal.
  • ▼ A break below 0.98114 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.98878 is not far above; limited upside room unless the macro trend shifts.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99693 2026-10-12
S1 0.98114 2026-10-20
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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