SOL/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.44 %
Entry
104.63
Target
105.28 +0.62 %
closes in profit
Stop
103.04 −1.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,590 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,590 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, ALMA Break Up, T3 Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
62.9 % ↑ +13.3 vs previous candle
MODERATE Scalping
▲ Bullish 84 % (20.71) ▼ Bearish 16 % (4.03)
model score 83.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.2 % (crypto, 2,405 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 84%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 03:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.95
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.80
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.77
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.16
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.81
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 1.75
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.17
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.15
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 0.83

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 30m with 96% probability, but it's a counter-trend move against a solid bearish 8h/12h trend.
  • Watch the 105.28 resistance: a break could shift the higher-timeframe bias; failure to hold 103.04 support invalidates the long.
  • Momentum and trend indicators are aligned on lower timeframes, but higher timeframes remain bearish—trade with tight risk controls.
  • This is a high-probability short-term long, not a trend reversal signal on its own.
The SOL/USDT 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Break Up, MA Retreat Up, and MAMA Cross Up, among others. The confluence of these momentum and trend-following indicators on the 30-minute timeframe suggests a strong, coordinated push higher, with a probability of 96% and very strong strength. However, the broader trend structure is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bullish but only 'trend forming' (2/5), while the 2h through 1d timeframes are bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing solid downtrends. This indicates the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bearish context, likely a corrective bounce or a potential reversal attempt that needs confirmation on higher timeframes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 105.28000 and support at 103.04000. A break above resistance would challenge the higher-timeframe bearish trend and could signal a deeper reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should treat this as a short-term long opportunity with tight risk management, given the conflicting higher-timeframe trend. The signal's strength and confluence of indicators provide a high-probability entry, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution and a clear invalidation level.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of 12+ bullish indicators on the 30m timeframe, including crossovers and breakouts.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bullish, showing alignment for the immediate move.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (96%) suggests high conviction in the setup.
  • ▲ The signal occurs at a potential inflection point, with support nearby (103.04) providing a defined risk level.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, with 8h and 12h in solid downtrends—this could be a bear-flag bounce.
  • ▼ The bullish trend on lower timeframes is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating early development and potential fragility.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above 103.04 support, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Resistance at 105.28 is nearby and could cap the move, especially if the higher-timeframe downtrend persists.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 84%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-23 02:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 105.28000 2026-10-22
R2 109.20000 2026-10-21
S1 103.04000 2026-10-22

Tags

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