ETH/BTC – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-24 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.72 %

Entry

0.02917

Target

0.02884 +1.13 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03253 −11.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 610 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 610 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.28 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.87 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.83 % 16 % at stop avg −6.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, SAR Flip Bearish, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.5 % ↓ −16.4 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 17 % (3.44) ▼ Bearish 83 % (16.34)

model score 33.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.93
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	1.76
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.64
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 12H ETH/BTC signal is strongly bearish with a 100% probability and very strong strength, backed by multiple converging indicators.
Higher timeframes (1H and above) are consistently bearish, while only the lowest timeframes show bullish noise, indicating a clear dominant downtrend.
Watch the nearest support at 0.02884: a break below would reinforce the bearish case; a reclaim of resistance at 0.03253 would invalidate the signal.
Expect possible short-term bounces given the bullish 15m/30m trends, but they are likely to be corrective within the larger bearish trend.

The 12H ETH/BTC signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength. A cascade of indicators—AROON Strong Downtrend, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, SMA Retreat Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, and SMI Signal Cross Down—converge to confirm a sustained downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is notable: while the 15m and 30m show bullish counter-moves (choppy and solid respectively), the higher timeframes from 1H upward are all bearish, with the 12H itself at a very strong trend score of 4/5. This suggests that the short-term bullishness is likely a corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure, and the 12H signal captures the dominant direction.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.03253 and the nearest support at 0.02884. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance would challenge the bearish thesis. The confluence of multiple trend-following indicators, combined with the strong higher-timeframe alignment, gives high confidence in the bearish outlook. However, the presence of bullish signals on the lower timeframes serves as a caution that pullbacks or consolidation may occur, but they are unlikely to reverse the established downtrend unless they push price back above the resistance level.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment across higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) all bearish, with the 12H at a very strong trend score.
▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (AROON, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MIDPOINT, SAR, SMA, ERI, SMI) all firing in the same bearish direction.
▼ The signal's high probability (100%) and very strong strength indicate a high-conviction setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish 15m (choppy) and 30m (solid) trends could lead to short-term upward corrections that might test the resistance level.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.03253, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend could shift.
▲ The presence of a strong bullish signal on the 30m timeframe is a conflicting lower-timeframe factor that could cause volatility.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price consolidates near support without breaking through, leading to a range-bound scenario.