BTC/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.68 %
Entry
79,598.02
Target
79,220.74 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
81,033.69 −1.80 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 3,029 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,029 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +2.11 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.15 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.21 % 22 % at stop avg −2.90 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +46% Intraday
▲ Bullish 4 % (2.49) ▼ Bearish 96 % (55.48)
model score 95.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
BTC/USDT  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●●Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.84
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.79
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.72
▼ MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.62
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ AO Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.12
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.72
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.54
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.50
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.50
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.33
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.23
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.12
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.67

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart, with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
  • Bearish trend is consistent across 15m to 8h timeframes, though 12h and 1d are still choppy.
  • Key downside level to watch is support at 79220.74; a break could accelerate selling.
  • Resistance at 81033.69 is the first hurdle for any bounce; reclaiming it would weaken the bearish case.
The 2H chart for BTC/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Stochastic Fast KD cross down and Williams %R oversold entry, reinforced by DEMA, EMA, MAMA price breakdowns, and midpoint/midprice retreats. This is a very strong confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators, all pointing in the same direction. The bearish alignment extends across timeframes from 15m up to 8h, with solid trend scores on 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h, while higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are still choppy but bearish. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 79220.74, with resistance overhead at 81033.69 acting as the first barrier to any bounce. The signal's high probability (95%) reflects the exceptional alignment of multiple indicator groups and trend scores across most timeframes. However, the choppy higher timeframes suggest the move may be part of a larger consolidation, so traders should watch for a break below support to confirm continuation or a reclaim of resistance to invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of over a dozen bearish signals, including stochastics, Williams %R, DEMA, EMA, and MAMA breakdowns.
  • ▼ Trend scores are solid (3/5) on 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h, all pointing lower.
  • ▼ Multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, and candlestick) are in agreement.
  • ▼ Price is retreating from key moving averages and midpoints, suggesting sellers are in control.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are only mildly bearish and choppy, which could limit downside follow-through.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 79220.74 may act as a strong floor, causing a bounce before the target is reached.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 81033.69, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Williams %R is already in oversold territory, which could signal a short-term bounce despite the bearish momentum.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 02:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 81,033.69000 2026-10-25
R2 82,060.88000 2026-10-23
R3 84,898.00000 2026-10-21
S1 79,220.74000 2026-10-24

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