AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 07:15 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.73 %

Entry

0.98866

Target

0.98229 +0.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99664 −0.81 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,417 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,417 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday

▲ Bullish 27 % (3.77) ▼ Bearish 73 % (10.29)

model score 73.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.1 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 577 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 22h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 22h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 22h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.46
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	Bearish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is bearish, but it runs against a bullish backdrop on most higher timeframes.
Key levels to watch: support at 0.98229 and resistance at 0.98878.
The signal is a counter-trend move, so expect limited downside unless support breaks.
Momentum indicators are turning down, but trend scores are weak across timeframes.

The 1H SELL signal on AUD/CAD is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators turning lower, including BOP Zero Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, and QSTICK Zero Cross Down. This suggests selling pressure is building at the intraday level, even as the broader picture remains predominantly bullish across the 30m through 8h timeframes. The signal appears to be a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend, with the nearest support at 0.98229 serving as the key downside target and the nearest resistance at 0.98878 as the immediate ceiling.

While the 1H signal is bearish, the higher timeframes (30m to 8h) are all bullish, which creates a conflict that reduces the conviction of the sell. The 15m timeframe is also bearish, aligning with the 1H signal, but the overall trend scores are weak (1-3 out of 5), indicating choppiness. The signal's 73% probability and moderate strength suggest it may play out as a short-term move, but traders should watch for a failure near support or a break above resistance to invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, QSTICK, T3, ALMA) are aligning to the downside.
▼ The 15m timeframe is also bearish, providing short-term confluence.
▼ The signal has a high probability score (73%) and is firing at a resistance level.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m to 8h) are bullish, which could overwhelm the 1H sell signal.
▲ The 1H signal is counter-trend, so a bounce from support is possible.
▲ Trend scores are weak (1-3/5) across most timeframes, indicating a lack of strong momentum.
▲ A break above 0.98878 would invalidate the bearish setup and likely trigger a rally.