USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
17 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %
Entry
1.39671
Target
1.39196 +0.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40148 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,394 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,394 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (42.02)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 4h
  • TodayCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 4h
  • TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.45
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.39
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.39
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.24
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.17
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.12
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.11
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals (BOP, STOCH, EMAs, KAMA, MAMA, trendline) all point to continued downside.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction on 2H and 1D (solid 3/5 trends).
  • Resistance at 1.40148 is the key level to watch; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
  • Lower timeframes (15M, 1H) are choppy, so expect possible sideways action before the next leg down.
The USD/CAD 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down, alongside multiple retreat signals from EMAs, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, and a higher-timeframe trendline. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure, with momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The overall trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, though the 1H and 15M show choppy/sideways conditions (1/5), while the 2H and 1D show solid trends (3/5), suggesting the bearish move is more established on higher timeframes and may be consolidating on the lower ones.

Key resistance is at 1.40148, which aligns with the recent price action and could act as a pivot if price retraces. With no immediate support defined, the downside may be open, but traders should watch for potential support levels on lower timeframes or psychological levels. The signal's probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, reflecting the high number of confirmations. However, the choppy lower timeframes warrant caution, as price may oscillate before continuing lower. The alignment across 2H and 1D supports the bearish bias, but a break above 1.40148 would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator retreats (EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) confirm aligned bearish momentum.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down add momentum and flow confirmation.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trendline retreat strengthens the bearish case.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on 2H and 1D.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy 15M and 1H trends (1/5) suggest possible consolidation or false breakouts.
  • ▲ No defined support level means the downside could be unpredictable, but also that rebounds may be sharp.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 1.40148 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ If higher timeframe momentum fades, the bearish move could stall despite the strong signal cluster.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-30 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40148 2026-10-29
R2 1.40686 2026-10-28
R3 1.40821 2026-10-21

Tags

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