USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-30 07:00 UTC 16 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

157.554

Target

156.649 +0.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.127 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,394 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,394 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Symmetrical Triangle, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 9 % (4.53) ▼ Bearish 91 % (45.29)

model score 90.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 4h
13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 5h
15:00November 2, 2026USDConstruction Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.9%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.20
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.29
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.24
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.66
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.62
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.41
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals are clustered on the 1H chart, led by a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown and multiple retreat indicators.
Near-term trend is bearish, but higher timeframes remain choppy and weak—momentum may be limited.
Watch 158.127 resistance and 156.649 support; a break of support confirms downside, while reclaiming resistance invalidates.
This is an intraday setup; be cautious of false breakouts given the lack of strong trend across higher timeframes.

The USD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown and a BOP Zero Cross Down, alongside multiple retreat signals (EMA 200, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA). This confluence suggests sellers have gained control on the intraday timeframe, with the 1H and 30M trends aligning bearish. However, the broader picture remains choppy, as all higher timeframes (2H through 1D) show weak bearish trends with sideways action, indicating limited momentum and a lack of clear directional conviction beyond the near term.

Key levels to watch: immediate resistance sits at 158.127, while nearest support is at 156.649. A sustained break below the triangle's lower boundary and the 156.649 support would reinforce the bearish case, potentially opening the path for further downside. Conversely, a reclaim of 158.127 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a return to range-bound conditions. Given the mixed higher-timeframe context, traders should treat this as an intraday momentum play rather than a high-confidence trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (chart pattern, indicators, and retreats) on the 1H timeframe.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down both confirm selling pressure.
▼ EMA 200, HT Trendline, KAMA, and MA retreats all align bearish, reinforcing the downside bias.
▼ 1H and 30M trends are both bearish, providing some alignment for the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are choppy and only weakly bearish, which may limit follow-through.
▲ A reclaim of the 158.127 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The Symmetrical Triangle breakdown could be a false signal if price quickly reverts back inside the pattern.
▲ Momentum indicators (DX Trend Weak) suggest the trend is not strong, so downside moves may be shallow.