AUD/CAD – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-02 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.36 %

Entry

0.97454

Target

0.96285 +1.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99757 −2.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 231 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 231 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.45 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Position

▲ Bullish 7 % (5.07) ▼ Bearish 93 % (72.22)

model score 93.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 13h
13:30TomorrowCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 13h
15:00TomorrowCADIvey PMI n.s.a.●●○Previous 61.9in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.96
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.71
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	1.71
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.60
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A Death Cross on the 50/200 SMA confirms a long-term bearish shift on the 12H chart.
Multiple retreat indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, MAMA Price, Midpoint, Midprice) all point downward, reinforcing the sell signal.
The Stochastic Fast KD Cross Up suggests a possible short-term bounce, but it is a minor counter-signal within a strong bearish trend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.99757; a break above it would invalidate the bearish outlook.

The AUD/CAD 12H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, headlined by a Death Cross on the 50/200 SMA and a suite of retreat indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, MAMA Price, Midpoint, Midprice) all pointing down. The Stochastic Fast (STOCHF) KD Cross Up is the lone counter-signal, suggesting a short-term bounce attempt, but it is outweighed by the broader downside momentum. With an 87% probability and 'very strong' signal strength, the bearish case is well-supported across the majority of timeframes.

Trend alignment is notably consistent: the 15m through 2h timeframes all show bearish trends with strong or solid scores, while the 4h is also solidly bearish. The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish but choppier, indicating that the longer-term downtrend is still forming. The nearest resistance at 0.99757 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup, while a failure to hold below it could see further downside. As support is not defined, traders should monitor price action around this resistance for confirmation of continued weakness.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 2h) all showing very strong or solid bearish trends.
▼ High signal probability (87%) and 'very strong' signal strength add conviction to the sell direction.
▼ Confluence of multiple retreat patterns and the SMA Death Cross provides a robust bearish narrative.
▼ The 4H timeframe also shows a solid bearish trend, supporting the medium-term downside.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are only showing 'trend forming' or 'choppy/sideways' trends, which could mean the bearish momentum is not yet fully established.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up indicates a potential short-term bounce that could temporarily push price higher.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.99757 would invalidate the bearish signal and could lead to a reversal.
▲ If the bounce gains traction, the 12H and 1D timeframes could shift from bearish to neutral, reducing the overall bearish confluence.