AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.76 %
Entry
110.181
Target
109.489 +0.63 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.023 −0.76 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 982 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 982 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 1%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Descending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.39
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 3.36
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 3.18
▼ Stoch Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.85
▼ MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.62
▼ Williams %R Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.48
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.35
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.30
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.28
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish patterns and indicators align on the 2H chart, pointing to continued downside.
  • Lower timeframes show a solid downtrend, but higher timeframes are choppy, so expect potential volatility.
  • Watch the 109.48900 support: a break could accelerate selling, while a bounce may signal a pause.
  • Resistance at 111.02300 is the key level to monitor for invalidation.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down and a Descending Triangle, both classic continuation patterns that align with the prevailing downtrend. The confluence of multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) indicates that price is being rejected at dynamic resistance levels, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The STOCH KD Cross Down and WILLR OS Entry add momentum confirmation, suggesting that selling pressure is likely to persist.

Across the lower timeframes (15m to 2H), the trend is consistently bearish with solid trend scores, which supports the immediate downside bias. However, the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are also bearish but choppy, indicating that the broader trend lacks strong directional conviction. This divergence suggests that while the short-term setup is robust, the move could be part of a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.02300 and support at 109.48900; a break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down and Descending Triangle provide strong chart pattern confluence.
  • ▼ Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm rejection at resistance.
  • ▼ Stochastic KD Cross Down and Williams %R oversold entry add momentum confirmation.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 2H timeframes supports the short-term bias.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound price action.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 111.02300 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the Williams %R oversold condition triggers a bounce.
  • ▲ The descending triangle could resolve upward if buying pressure emerges at support.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 1%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.02300 2026-11-02
R2 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

Tags

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