AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Descending Triangle, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down +13 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
- November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
- November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Descending Trianglebreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.39 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.36 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 3.18 |
| ▼ | Stoch Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.85 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.62 |
| ▼ | Williams %R Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.48 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.30 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.20 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bearish patterns and indicators align on the 2H chart, pointing to continued downside.
- Lower timeframes show a solid downtrend, but higher timeframes are choppy, so expect potential volatility.
- Watch the 109.48900 support: a break could accelerate selling, while a bounce may signal a pause.
- Resistance at 111.02300 is the key level to monitor for invalidation.
Across the lower timeframes (15m to 2H), the trend is consistently bearish with solid trend scores, which supports the immediate downside bias. However, the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are also bearish but choppy, indicating that the broader trend lacks strong directional conviction. This divergence suggests that while the short-term setup is robust, the move could be part of a larger consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.02300 and support at 109.48900; a break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▼ Trendline Break Down and Descending Triangle provide strong chart pattern confluence.
- ▼ Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm rejection at resistance.
- ▼ Stochastic KD Cross Down and Williams %R oversold entry add momentum confirmation.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 2H timeframes supports the short-term bias.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound price action.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 111.02300 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if the Williams %R oversold condition triggers a bounce.
- ▲ The descending triangle could resolve upward if buying pressure emerges at support.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.02300 | 2026-11-02 |
| R2 | 111.56400 | 2026-10-29 |
| S1 | 109.48900 | 2026-10-23 |
| S2 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |