AUD/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-02 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.68 %

Entry

0.69766

Target

0.68941 +1.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.72374 −3.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 231 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 231 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.45 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Break Down, EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 10 % (5.34) ▼ Bearish 90 % (49.26)

model score 90.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 13h
13:30TomorrowUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 13h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.49
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.25
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.18
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	1.82
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.52
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	1.51
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.48
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.45
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.23
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.17

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: 17 indicators, including DX Trend Strong, Death Cross, and EMA 200 retreat, all align for a sell.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, though higher timeframes (8H/12H) are choppy, suggesting the trend may still be developing.
Key levels: resistance at 0.72374 and support at 0.68941; a break below support could accelerate the decline.
The stochastic cross-up hints at a possible short-term bounce, but the overall momentum remains bearish.

The AUD/USD 12H chart has triggered a very strong bearish signal, with a 92% probability and a confluence of 17 indicators pointing lower. The DX Trend Strong indicator confirms a robust downtrend, while the Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs and the EMA 200 retreat underscore a broad bearish alignment. The breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band and the DEMA/EMA breaks signal accelerating downside momentum, with the stochastic cross-up suggesting only a minor pullback within the larger decline.

Across timeframes, bearish pressure is consistent from the 15-minute through the 4-hour charts, though the 8H and 12H are choppy, indicating the trend may be in its early stages. The daily chart shows a forming trend, supporting the medium-term outlook. Immediate resistance sits at 0.72374, while the nearest support is at 0.68941, a key level to watch for a potential continuation or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (DX, DEMA, EMA) are in sync, reinforcing the bearish signal.
▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross and EMA 200 retreat confirm a longer-term bearish structure.
▼ Bollinger Band lower break indicates strong downside volatility and momentum.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D, supports the continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are choppy, which could lead to false signals or a consolidation phase.
▲ The stochastic cross-up may trigger a short-term bounce, potentially stalling the decline.
▲ A break above the 0.72374 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If the price holds above 0.68941 support, the downside may be limited, and a reversal could occur.