AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 18:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.05 %

Entry

0.69711

Target

0.69583 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69977 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 5h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 5h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.37
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with 92% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple momentum and trend indicators align: APO, BOP, STOCHRSI, WILLR, and moving-average retreats.
Nearest support at 0.69617 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 0.69977 is the invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (1h, 2h) are solidly bearish, supporting the short-term downside move.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and WILLR entering oversold territory. These are reinforced by multiple moving-average retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA) and a trendline retreat, all pointing to sustained selling pressure. The confluence of these signals on the 30-minute timeframe, with a very strong probability score of 92%, suggests that the immediate bias is firmly to the downside, and the pair is likely to test the nearest support at 0.69617.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though its strength varies. The 1-hour and 2-hour charts show solid trends (3/5), providing a supportive backdrop for the 30-minute signal. However, the 15-minute, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could introduce noise. The key resistance to watch is 0.69977; a break above that level would invalidate the bearish setup. Until then, the path of least resistance is lower, with support at 0.69617 as the first target.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals across momentum and trend-following indicators.
▼ Solid bearish trends on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes align with the 30-minute signal.
▼ Trendline retreat on the higher timeframe adds technical confluence.
▼ Very strong trend score and high probability indicate robust selling momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 15m, 8h, and 12h timeframes could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ The WILLR is already in oversold territory, which may signal a short-term bounce risk.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.69977 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If momentum fades, the pair could consolidate above support rather than breaking it.