BTC/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED

2026-11-04 15:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.32 %

Entry

80,296.01

Target

81,971.00 +2.09 %

closes in profit

Stop

75,736.38 −5.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 12 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Stoch Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div, DEMA Break Up +15 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Intraday

▲ Bullish 66 % (10.36) ▼ Bearish 34 % (5.22)

model score 11.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 13 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Stoch Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.08
▲	Momentum Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.07
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.84
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.75
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.73
▲	AO Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.70
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.62
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.56
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.48
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.39
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	TRIX Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.33
▼	RSI OB Entry	indicator	1.04
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 1H, backed by a cluster of trend and momentum indicators.
Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, supporting the move, but higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so this could be a counter-trend rally.
Watch the nearest resistance at 81971 and support at 75736; a break above resistance could extend gains, while losing support would invalidate the signal.
The 97% probability and very strong strength indicate high conviction, but the bearish higher timeframe trend is a key risk.

The 1H BTC/USDT signal is a confluence of momentum and trend indicators, with RSI entering overbought territory, a stochastic cross up, a TRIX zero-line cross up, and multiple moving average breakouts (DEMA, EMA 200, KAMA, MAMA). This cluster of signals suggests strong bullish momentum on the 1H timeframe, supported by a 97% probability and very strong strength. The bullish alignment across lower timeframes (15m, 30m) and the 1H trend forming adds conviction, while the 2H and 4H are also bullish but less developed. However, the 12H and 1D timeframes remain bearish, indicating that this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 81971 and support at 75736. A break above resistance could open the door for further upside, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish signal. The divergence group signals suggest potential momentum shifts, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the higher timeframe trend for confirmation.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple breakout signals (DEMA, EMA 200, KAMA, MAMA) indicating strong trend momentum.
▲ RSI overbought and stochastic cross up suggest sustained buying pressure in the short term.
▲ TRIX zero cross up confirms positive momentum shift.
▲ Bullish alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes supports the immediate trend.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend (12H, 1D) is bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ RSI overbought may lead to a pullback or consolidation.
▼ Nearest resistance at 81971 could act as a ceiling; failure to break above may trigger profit-taking.
▼ If price falls below support at 75736, the bullish signal is invalidated.