BTC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-11-04 17:00 UTC 10 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.30 %

Entry

80,427.66

Target

75,736.38 +5.83 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,971.00 −1.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 10 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↑ +9.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +31% Intraday

▲ Bullish 12 % (4.30) ▼ Bearish 88 % (32.20)

model score 88.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 11 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.0 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,218 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.94
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum on the 1H is confirmed by multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern.
Lower timeframes remain bullish, so the signal may be a short-term pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the 1H support at 75736; a break below would strengthen the bearish case.
Resistance at 81971 is the key level to reclaim for bulls to negate the signal.

The 1H BTC/USDT signal fires a bearish cluster as ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a Hanging Man align. Together, these indicate weakening buying pressure and a potential short-term reversal, despite the broader bullish structure across lower timeframes. The signal suggests momentum is fading on the 1H, with the Hanging Man highlighting seller presence near resistance.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m up to 8h, but the higher timeframes (12h and 1D) are bearish, creating a conflicting backdrop. The 1H trend is still forming (2/5), so the bearish signal may be an early shift rather than a confirmed reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 81971 and support at 75736; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong ADX indicates a powerful trend, which can amplify the bearish move if momentum shifts.
▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HMA) align in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ The Hanging Man at resistance adds a candlestick confirmation of selling pressure.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish bias (12h and 1D) supports a potential larger downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are strongly bullish, which could override the 1H signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 1H trend is still forming (2/5), so the bearish signal may be premature without confirmation.
▲ If price holds above resistance at 81971, the bearish setup is invalidated and a breakout could occur.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the signal is merely a consolidation within the broader uptrend.