BTC/USDT – 2H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 10 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.30 %

Entry

80,427.66

Target

81,971.00 +1.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

76,325.98 −5.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 3,623 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,623 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.09 % 21 % at stop avg −2.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, HMA Break Up, SMA 200 Break Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.5 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +24% Intraday

▲ Bullish 90 % (37.98) ▼ Bearish 10 % (4.05)

model score 31.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.85
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.69
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.62
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.59
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.47
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.43
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.10
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.41
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.36
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.06
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple breakout signals firing together.
Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) confirm the bullish trend, adding confluence.
Key resistance at 81,971; a break above could extend gains.
Watch support at 76,326 as the critical invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are still bearish, so caution is warranted.

The 2H chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including the EMA 200 Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up, and KAMA Retreat Up, alongside midpoint and midprice breakouts. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to buyers regaining control after a period of consolidation. The 15m and 30m timeframes confirm a very strong and solid bullish trend, while higher timeframes are still forming bullish structure, suggesting the move may have legs but is not yet fully established.

The nearest resistance at 81,971 is the immediate hurdle; a clean break above it would open the path toward higher levels, while the nearest support at 76,326 serves as the key invalidation zone. With a 95% probability and very strong strength, the signal suggests a high-confidence long setup. However, the 12H and 1D timeframes remain bearish, so traders should watch for a potential reversal if price fails to hold above support or if higher-timeframe bearish pressure resumes.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, midpoint breakouts) on the 2H chart.
▲ Very strong trend score (95% probability) and strong momentum.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish and very strong, supporting the move.
▲ Price breaking above key moving averages and midpoints indicates buyer control.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bearish, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ The 2H trend is still choppy/sideways (1/5), so the signal may be premature.
▼ Failure to hold above the nearest support at 76,325 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Resistance at 81,971 could stall momentum if not broken with volume.