BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
4 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %
Entry
80,504.01
Target
81,971.00 +1.82 %
closes in profit
Stop
76,325.98 −5.19 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout, BOP Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
63.8 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +22% Swing
▲ Bullish 86 % (26.75) ▼ Bearish 14 % (4.32)
model score 86.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
BTC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 3.23
▲ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.42
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.41
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.28
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.28
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.28
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.86
▲ Tweezers Bottom candlestick 0.81
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.75

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 4H: trendline break, APO and BOP zero crosses, and WILLR oversold entry.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m to 8H) are all bullish, but higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bearish.
  • Immediate upside target is the resistance at 81971.00; support at 76325.98 is the invalidation zone.
  • The signal is very strong (85% probability), but the higher timeframe bearish bias warrants caution.
The BTC/USDT 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, led by a Trendline Break Up and a series of zero-cross confirmations on the APO and BOP, alongside a WILLR oversold entry. The bullish momentum is reinforced by a Golden Cross on the stochastic fast (STOCHF) and a bullish cross on the HT sine, while the HT phasor in-phase cross down suggests a short-term pullback within an overall uptrend. The signal strength is very strong, with an 85% probability, and the confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups points to a high-probability long setup.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m up to 8H, with the 1H and 30M showing solid trends (3/5). However, the 12H and 1D are still bearish, indicating that the higher timeframe bias is not yet aligned. This suggests the current move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend, and the immediate upside is capped by the nearest resistance at 81971.00. Support at 76325.98 is the key level to hold; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up on the 4H indicates a bullish reversal from a descending trendline.
  • ▲ APO and BOP zero crosses suggest improving momentum and buying pressure.
  • ▲ STOCHF Golden Cross and WILLR oversold entry align with a bounce from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ Bullish HT sine cross adds a cycle-based confirmation to the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are still bearish, which could limit the upside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 76325.98 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The STOCH KD cross down and HT phasor in-phase cross down indicate short-term weakness that could delay the breakout.
  • ▼ Resistance at 81971.00 is a nearby barrier; failure to break it may result in consolidation or a pullback.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 86%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 81,971.00000 2026-10-29
R2 84,898.00000 2026-10-21
R3 86,999.11000 2026-10-05
S1 76,325.98000 2026-10-30

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