ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %

Entry

0.03009

Target

0.02835 +5.78 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03065 −1.86 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % ↑ +5.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 35 % (2.74) ▼ Bearish 65 % (5.03)

model score 64.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 38.7 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,072 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.18
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.08
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of eight bearish signals on the 4H chart suggests a short-term pullback, but the overall trend is still bullish on most lower timeframes.
The Bearish Harami and multiple overbought exits indicate fading upside momentum, yet the signal strength is weak at 63%.
Watch the nearest support at 0.02835; a break below would confirm a deeper correction and align with the daily bearish trend.
Resistance at 0.03014 is the immediate upside level; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.

The 4H ETH/BTC chart has fired a cluster of eight bearish signals, including a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern and multiple momentum oscillators rolling over from overbought territory (CMO OB Exit, RSX OB Entry, STC OB Entry, STOCHF KD Cross Down). The BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down confirm that buying pressure is fading and the market is losing upward efficiency. While these signals point to a short-term pullback, the overall trend structure remains predominantly bullish across most timeframes, with the 30m showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 15m, 1h, 2h, and 12h all showing solid bullish trends (3/5). The 4H and 8H trends are only forming (2/5), suggesting the bullish momentum is not yet fully established at the traded timeframe. The daily timeframe is bearish (3/5), providing a conflicting higher-timeframe backdrop.

Given this mixed alignment, the bearish signal cluster likely represents a corrective move within a larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 0.02835; a break below this would shift the bias more decisively bearish and align with the daily downtrend. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 0.03014 remains the immediate upside barrier. The signal's weak strength (63% probability) and the bullish lower timeframes suggest that any downside may be limited unless the support is convincingly broken.

Catalysts

▼ Eight bearish signals firing together, including a Bearish Harami and multiple overbought exits, create a strong short-term confluence.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down confirm a loss of buying pressure and trend efficiency.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind for the sell signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.03014 is close by, offering a clear level where selling pressure could intensify.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across most timeframes (15m to 12h) argues against a sustained decline; the signal may only be a minor correction.
▲ The signal strength is weak (63% probability), reducing confidence in the bearish outcome.
▲ If the price holds above the nearest support at 0.02835 and resumes higher, the bearish signals would be invalidated.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.03014 would negate the bearish setup and signal a continuation of the bullish trend.