BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-11-04 23:30 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %

Entry

80,504.01

Target

81,196.01 +0.86 %

closes in profit

Stop

75,736.38 −5.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,400 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,400 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bull Flag, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, SMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (34.17) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Bull Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.00
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.60
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.16
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.02
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.97
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 30-minute chart with a Bull Flag and multiple momentum crossovers.
Trend is bullish across lower timeframes, but higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are still bearish, so caution is warranted.
Watch the nearest resistance at 81196.01 for a breakout; support at 75736.38 is the key invalidation level.
High probability (93%) and very strong signal strength suggest a high-confidence setup, but higher timeframe conflict adds risk.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a high-probability bullish signal (93% probability, very strong strength) as of 2026-11-05 00:30 UTC. The signal is a confluence of a Bull Flag pattern, multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing above their zero lines, and several moving-average retreat-up signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus additional indicators and candlestick patterns. This alignment suggests that bullish momentum is building after a consolidation phase, with the Bull Flag indicating a potential continuation of the prior uptrend.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish on all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 8 hours, with the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes showing solid trends (3/5 strength). However, the 12-hour and daily timeframes are still bearish, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe perspective. The nearest resistance is at 81196.01, and the nearest support is at 75736.38. A break above resistance would confirm further upside, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Bull Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend.
▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing above zero confirm bullish momentum.
▲ Moving-average retreat-up signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) indicate price is pulling back to support and bouncing.
▲ Trend alignment across 15m to 8h timeframes supports the bullish direction.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are still bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 75736.38 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break resistance at 81196.01, leading to a range-bound move.
▼ The signal is on a 30-minute timeframe, so it is short-term; longer-term traders may see conflicting signals.