USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 22:00 UTC 11 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

157.888

Target

156.962 +0.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.336 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 316 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), EMA 200 Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +26% Swing

▲ Bullish 16 % (6.44) ▼ Bearish 84 % (32.86)

model score 83.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 7h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 7h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.61
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.14
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	TRIX Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.67
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.02
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.95
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.90
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.89
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.59

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on USD/JPY 8H with 83% probability and strong strength.
Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, TRIX, WILLR, BBANDS) all align bearish.
All timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy; watch for momentum to build.
Key levels: resistance at 158.336, support at 156.962; a break below support could accelerate downside.

The USD/JPY 8H signal is decisively bearish, with an 83% probability and strong strength. A broad cluster of indicators—including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, TRIX Zero Cross Up, WILLR OB Exit, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down—all point to sustained downside momentum. This confluence of signals suggests that selling pressure is building across multiple technical dimensions, reinforcing the bearish outlook. The trend alignment across timeframes is consistent: all timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, though the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are currently choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish move may be in its early stages or lacking strong momentum on the higher timeframes. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) show a more solid trend, which could be leading the higher timeframes into a more established downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.336 and the nearest support at 156.962. A break below support would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a bounce off support could signal a temporary pullback. The presence of a Fibonacci group in the signal adds another layer of confluence, suggesting that price may be interacting with key Fibonacci retracement or extension levels. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation of the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 15+ signals across indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with lower timeframes showing solid trend.
▼ Price is below the middle Bollinger Band and RSI midline, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ Fibonacci levels likely providing additional resistance, supporting further downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could limit the strength of the bearish move.
▲ A close above the nearest resistance at 158.336 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum indicators like RSI and STOCHF may be oversold, risking a short-term bounce.
▲ Watch for a bullish reversal pattern or a break of the support level to fail, which could signal a false breakdown.